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The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds recorded its biggest quarterly jump in over a decade, and the German 10-year interest rate briefly rose to 3% - a level last seen in 2011. In Japan, swaps betting on 10-year bonds touched a yield shift of 1% for the first time since January.
The global markets are still tense after government bond
sell-offs pushed long-term borrowing costs in the US and Europe to their
highest levels in over a decade. While the market stabilized during US trading
hours, traders remain concerned about a long period of tight monetary policy
and are demanding higher compensations than ever to hold long-term government
debt.
The repricing, which pushed the yield on 30-year US Treasury
bonds to over 5% for the first time since 2007, extends even to stock markets
and corporate bonds.
The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds recorded its biggest
quarterly jump in over a decade, and the German 10-year interest rate briefly
rose to 3% - a level last seen in 2011. In Japan, swaps betting on 10-year
bonds touched a yield shift of 1% for the first time since January.
The selling pressure subsided with the commencement of
trading in the US markets on Wednesday. This was triggered by a series of
economic data releases, starting with a rise in private-sector job creation, as
indicated by the ADP employment change, which was less than anticipated.
Concurrently, crude oil futures prices plummeted over 5%, hitting a one-month low.
The two-year Treasury yield experienced a nearly 13 basis
point drop from its session peak as traders adjusted their expectations for
another Fed rate hike, leading to a stabilization in US stocks. However, global
bonds have fallen by 3.5% in 2023, and yields worldwide have now reached levels
almost unimaginable at the start of 2023. The sell-offs were so severe that
they forced optimistic investors to surrender and forced Wall Street banks to reevaluate
their forecasts.
The recent surge in U.S. yields, which are now significantly
higher than those of other countries, has sparked a dollar rally. This has led
to the euro falling to its lowest level in nearly a year, and the yen reaching
150 per dollar on Tuesday.
This defeat has also led to real yields rising to their
highest levels in several years, with the inflation-adjusted rate for ten years
in the US rising to over 2.4% - the same levels it reached in 2007
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